Prof. Kümmerle erforscht die Wechselwirkungen zwischen Landnutzung, Biodiversität und Großsäugerschutz in sich verändernden Landschaften — aktuell mit Schwerpunkt auf Ökosystem-Wiederherstellung, Wildtier-Konnektivität und die Auswirkungen sozioökonomischer Krisen auf Großraubtiere. Er nutzt Satellitenfernerkundung, räumlich-explizite Modellierung und sozioökologische Monitoring-Systeme, um Konflikte zwischen Landwirtschaft und Naturschutz zu analysieren und Managementstrategien für bedrohte Populationen (Wisent, Luchs, Großraubtiere) zu entwickeln. Seine Arbeiten adressieren Fragen der grenzüberschreitenden Wildtierkonservierung und der Landschaftsplanung in Europa, Kaukasus und Südamerika — relevant für Naturschutzorganisationen, Behörden und Landnutzungsplaner, die Wiederherstellungsprojekte oder Wildtier-Management umsetzen.
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Prof. Dr. Tobias Kümmerle
HU-FIS-Profil ↗EU: Nachhaltige Zukunft für Europas Kulturlandschaftserbe: Werkzeuge zum Verständnis, zur Verwaltung und zum Schutz von Landschaftsfunktionen und -werten (HERCULES)
other
Climate-smart rewilding: ecological restoration for climate change mitigation, adaptation and biodiversity support in Europe
other
Climate-smart rewilding: ecological restoration for climate change mitigation, adaptation and biodiversity support in Europe
EU: Nachhaltige Zukunft für Europas Kulturlandschaftserbe: Werkzeuge zum Verständnis, zur Verwaltung und zum Schutz von Landschaftsfunktionen und -werten (HERCULES)
university
EU: Visionen für eine nachhaltige Landnutzung in Europa (VOLANTE)
university
Reduzierung von Zielkonflikten zwischen Landwirtschaft und Biodiversität in der Kasachischen Steppe
ngo
Förderer: Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung Zeitraum: 12/2011 - 08/2013 Projektleitung: Prof. Dr. Tobias Kümmerle
Förderer: Wirtschaftsunternehmen / gewerbliche Wirtschaft Zeitraum: 01/2012 - 12/2015 Projektleitung: Prof. Dr. Tobias Kümmerle
Förderer: Einstein Junior Fellowship Zeitraum: 03/2012 - 12/2015 Projektleitung: Prof. Dr. Tobias Kümmerle
Biological Conservation · DOI
Restoring populations of large mammals in human-dominated landscapes requires careful planning of conservation strategies. To support such planning for the European bison ( Bison bonasus ), Europe's largest land mammal currently constrained to small and isolated populations, we parameterized an individual-based, spatially-explicit metapopulation model. We then systematically assessed the impacts of three conservation interventions: 1) connectivity restoration with wildlife overpasses, 2) additional reintroductions, and 3) reduced supplementary feeding to encourage dispersal. Our baseline model projected a doubling of bison abundance in Central Europe within 30 years to >2250 females (in 20 occupied habitat patches), reaching >4300 females (38 patches) within 100 years. Yet subpopulations often remained isolated, highlighting the need for interventions to increase connectivity to prevent a further erosion of already low genetic diversity. Of the interventions we tested, reintroductions were most effective (5 % abundance increase, 10 % patch occupancy increase, on average, after 50 years) and helped establish larger metapopulations that are important for maintaining genetic diversity. Individual wildlife overpasses had a small effect (1 % range increase). Reducing supplementary feeding did not promote range expansion and slightly slowed population growth. We found that the five extant subpopulations in north-eastern Poland could form a viable metapopulation and identified two additional promising regions for such metapopulations: (1) Western Poland/Eastern Germany, and (2) the Eastern Carpathians in Poland/Slovakia. Overall, our findings underscore the potential for European megafauna recovery, highlight the key role of reintroductions to help megafauna reclaim their historical ranges, and can guide more fine-scale assessments of the social-ecological feasibility of such recoveries.
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People and Nature · DOI
Abstract Large carnivores are ecologically, economically and socially important, but they are also among the most threatened species worldwide. These species face numerous threats, most importantly habitat transformation, prey depletion and hunting. All of these threats could be exacerbated by socio‐economic shocks—such as financial crises, wars, pandemics or political regime shifts—that can cause sudden and structural changes in social‐ecological systems. However, the different pathways through which such shocks impact large carnivores are unclear. Here, we used a social‐ecological systems approach to build a conceptual framework that investigates these pathways. We used expert workshops and case‐specific, narrative literature reviews to illustrate this framework for three cases: (1) impacts of economic sanctions on the Asiatic cheetah ( Acinonyx jubatus venaticus ) in Iran, (2) impacts of global commodity price shocks on the jaguar ( Panthera onca ) in Bolivia and (3) impacts of the collapse of the Soviet Union on the snow leopard ( P. uncia ) in Kyrgyzstan. We found that conservation and agricultural institutions were crucial for carnivore conservation, despite the different nature of the shocks and the different socio‐economic settings across cases. We identified linkages between carnivore conservation and the global economy at the levels of nations and communities, which increased the vulnerability of carnivores to shocks. Our cases highlighted the need to proactively create resilient institutions focused on local capacity building, enhancement of social stability and built on internal motivations for conservation, to secure the future of large carnivores in turbulent times. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.